{"id":7963,"date":"2017-05-18T08:28:05","date_gmt":"2017-05-18T12:28:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/trades.iwopremium.com\/?p=7963"},"modified":"2017-05-18T08:28:05","modified_gmt":"2017-05-18T12:28:05","slug":"proactive-spreads-may-18th-2017-aapl-amzn-hd","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/trades.iwopremium.com\/proactive-spreads-may-18th-2017-aapl-amzn-hd\/","title":{"rendered":"Full Time Profits, May 18th 2017 – AAPL, AMZN, HD"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"\"<\/p>\n

FINALLY.<\/p>\n

Vol is picking up.<\/p>\n

The markets had what we call a “volatility pivot.”<\/p>\n

See, when vol increases it’s rarely a gradual thing… it kinda comes at you all at once.<\/p>\n

The second thing to know is that this is rarely a one-off event. We will probably see a lower low pattern get knocked out.<\/p>\n

Now a lot of people are going to try to blame US politics on this selloff… but that’s rubbish. It was a combination of VIX expiration, historically low vol, too many people chasing the breakout above 2400, and the lack of good earnings reports. You can read fuller explanations here<\/a>.<\/p>\n

There’s also some premarket news of Brazilian election shenanigans, and $EWZ is down about 18%. When it rains, it pours.<\/p>\n

The average pullback in this bull market is right around 5%. That’s 225 on the SPY and major support.<\/p>\n

If we manage to hit those levels, investors will view it as end-of-world kind of trading, but understand that we haven’t had a proper pullback in quite a while so it’s possible.<\/p>\n

Trade #1: AAPL<\/h2>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

AAPL taking a hard round trip here… all the large cap tech stocks which held this market up are seeing similar price action. I’m looking for a test of that rising trendline, previous resistance, and the rising 50 day moving average.<\/p>\n

Trade Setup<\/strong><\/p>\n

Target Price: 146<\/p>\n

Sell To Open AAPL Jul 135\/130 Put Spread<\/strong><\/p>\n

Tier 1: Open at 0.64, Close at 0.14<\/p>\n

Tier 2: Open at 0.95, Close at 0.65<\/p>\n

Tier 3: Open at 1.25, Close at 0.95<\/p>\n

Trade #2: AMZN<\/h2>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Similar kind of setup here. Looking for a test of the trendline, rising 50 day moving average, and a pull into the previous range area. I will bias this one a little higher because AMZN will probably find buyers before that, given it’s the strongest stock in the market right now.<\/p>\n

Trade Setup<\/strong><\/p>\n

Target Price: 910<\/p>\n

Sell To Open AMZN Jul 830\/825 Put Spread<\/strong><\/p>\n

Tier 1: Open at 0.70, Close at 0.20<\/p>\n

Tier 2: Open at 1.00, Close at 0.70<\/p>\n

Tier 3: Open at 1.30, Close at 1.00<\/p>\n

Trade #3: HD<\/h2>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Same setup as the previous two. Test of 50 day moving average and previous range… and there’s probably a trendline there but not shown.<\/p>\n

Trade Setup<\/strong><\/p>\n

Target Price 151<\/p>\n

Sell to Open HD 140\/135 Put Spread\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

Tier 1: Open at 0.65, Close at 0.15<\/p>\n

Tier 2: Open at 0.95, Close at 0.65<\/p>\n

Tier 3: Open at 1.25, Close at 0.95<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

FINALLY. Vol is picking up. The markets had what we call a “volatility pivot.” See, when vol increases it’s rarely a gradual thing… it kinda comes at you all at once. The second thing to know is that this is rarely a one-off event. We will probably see a lower low pattern get knocked out. […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_bbp_topic_count":0,"_bbp_reply_count":0,"_bbp_total_topic_count":0,"_bbp_total_reply_count":0,"_bbp_voice_count":0,"_bbp_anonymous_reply_count":0,"_bbp_topic_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_reply_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_forum_subforum_count":0,"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"","_genesis_layout":""},"categories":[24],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/trades.iwopremium.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7963"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/trades.iwopremium.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/trades.iwopremium.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/trades.iwopremium.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/trades.iwopremium.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=7963"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/trades.iwopremium.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7963\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":7968,"href":"https:\/\/trades.iwopremium.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7963\/revisions\/7968"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/trades.iwopremium.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=7963"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/trades.iwopremium.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=7963"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/trades.iwopremium.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=7963"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}