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Bear Flag in CREE

Home › Forums › Swing Trades › Bear Flag in CREE

  • This topic has 0 replies, 1 voice, and was last updated 12 years, 9 months ago by Steven Place.
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  • August 26, 2013 at 10:23 pm #2620
    Steven Place
    Keymaster

    This is a post-earnings followthrough trade in CREE.

    After getting slammed on earnings, the stock has been in a consolidation range for about 2 weeks. This is a classic bear flag pattern, with targets in the 50s.

    cree-60

     

    Straight up put buys would work here, but you could also consider a bear put spread. The reason this strategy looks attractive is that you have skew in your favor.

    Here’s the trade I like:

    • Buy Oct 55 Put
    • Sell Oct 50 Put

    Debit: 1.55

    cree-vertical

    A move above 58.50 invalidates the flag pattern– that would put your risk at -35 per spread.

    Initial target is the rising 200 day moving average, currently around 51.25.

     

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