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Failed Breakdown in AAPL

Home › Forums › Swing Trades › Failed Breakdown in AAPL

  • This topic has 2 replies, 1 voice, and was last updated 11 years, 5 months ago by Steven Place.
Viewing 3 posts - 1 through 3 (of 3 total)
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  • January 6, 2015 at 9:57 am #2315
    Steven Place
    Keymaster

    This hasn’t triggered yet but I’m going to show you exactly the setup to take.

    Here’s a 30 min chart of AAPL.

    aapl-30

    There’s an obvious level of support that was breached yesterday, but it seems to have no follow through.

    When a level fails to break we often see a rejection back into the previous price range.

    Here’s the setup:

    On a break to a new HOD ( that would be price clearance above 106.76), get long the Feb 105 calls. They’ll probably be going for 5.75 – 6.00

    IF THERE IS NO BREAK, DO NOT ENTER LONG.

    I like calls straight up because the theta won’t kick in as we are headed into earnings season.

    To define a stop, I’m taking the open range of 1.50 and subtracting it from the day’s low, which is 103.75.

    First target will be 109.39.

    aapl-tst

    January 8, 2015 at 9:31 am #2317
    Steven Place
    Keymaster

    First target hit, time to scale some:

    Sell to close HALF POSITION AAPL Feb 105 calls @7.20

    January 9, 2015 at 9:46 am #2316
    Steven Place
    Keymaster

    Trade is going great, what I’m going to do now is reduce my risk by ROLLING the calls to a higher strike.

    This will take more cash off the table but still leave me with long deltas in AAPL.

    Sell to close Feb 105 Call @10.10

    Buy to open FEb 115 calls @4.00

    Net credit: 6.10

    I’m also moving the stop up to 110.75, which is just under the late-morning pivot from yesterday.

    aapl-5

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